November 30 Seeding Predictions

1 Seed:  Gonzaga, Baylor, Iowa, Wisconsin

2 Seed:  Kansas, Illinois, Villanova, Duke

3 Seed:  Virginia, Michigan State, Creighton, West Virginia

4 Seed:  Texas, Tennessee, Florida State, North Carolina

5 Seed:  Houston, Texas Tech, Oregon, Kentucky

6 Seed:  Rutgers, Ohio State, Indiana, Florida

7 Seed:  Arizona State, Richmond, Louisville, Michigan

8 Seed:  Stanford, Alabama, LSU, San Diego State

9 Seed:  UCLA, Connecticut, Saint Louis, Purdue

10 Seed:  Memphis, Oklahoma, Arizona, Seton Hall

11 Seed:  Virginia Tech, Providence, Arkansas, {Miami (FL) – BYU}

12 Seed:  {Colorado-Syracuse}, Loyola (IL), Murray State, Western Kentucky

13 Seed:  New Mexico State, Furman, Buffalo, Vermont

14 Seed:  Little Rock, Winthrop, SF Austin, Hofstra

15 Seed:  South Dakota State, Lipscomb, UC Santa Barbara, Wright State

16 Seed:  Siena, Norfolk State, {Texas Southern-FDU}, {Eastern Washington-Colgate}

Last 4 Byes: Seton Hall, Virginia Tech, Providence, Arkansas

Last 4 In:  Miami (FL), BYU, Colorado, Syracuse

First 4 Out:  Clemson, Dayton, USC, North Carolina State

Others considered (in order):  Butler, Xaiver, Maryland, Davidson, Utah, Boise State, ,SMU, Cincinnati, Saint Mary’s, South Carolina, Marquette, Minnesota, UNC-Greensboro, UNLV, St. Bonaventure, Duquesne, Liberty, Rhode Island, Northern Iowa, Utah State

In:  Loyola (IL), Virginia Tech

Out: Dayton, Northern Iowa

Movement:

UP 2: San Diego State

UP 1: Iowa, Wisconsin, Illinois, West Virginia, Florida State, North Carolina, Indiana, Florida, Richmond, Louisville, Alabama, Saint Louis, BYU, Western Kentucky

DOWN 1: Villanova, Texas Tech, Arizona State, LSU, Seton Hall, New Mexico State

DOWN 2: Virginia, Kentucky, Memphis

DOWN 3: UCLA

Multi-Bid Conferences:

9 – Big 10

8 – ACC

6 – Big12, PAC-12, SEC

5 – Big East

2 – A10, AAC, WCC

Ineligible:

Auburn, Oklahoma State (postseason ban)

Bethune-Cookman, Brown, Columbia, Cornell, Dartmouth, Harvard, Maryland-Eastern Shore, Penn, Princeton, Yale (not competing due to COVID)

Bellarmine, UC-San Diego, Cal Baptist, Dixie State, Merrimack, Tarleton State (provisional D1 members)

2020-2021 Preseason Predictions

Many schedules still have not been finalized. There’s a pretty good chance that some quality mid-majors won’t have a strength of schedule that’s high enough to be considered for at-large berths. Not sure how the committee will handle that.

1 Seed:  Baylor, Gonzaga, Villanova, Virginia

2 Seed:  Iowa, Kansas, Wisconsin, Duke

3 Seed:  Illinois, Michigan State, Kentucky, Creighton

4 Seed:  Texas Tech, West Virginia, Texas, Tennessee

5 Seed:  Florida State, North Carolina, Houston, Oregon

6 Seed:  Arizona State, UCLA, Ohio State, Rutgers

7 Seed:  Indiana, Florida, Michigan, LSU

8 Seed:  Louisville, Stanford, Memphis, Richmond

9 Seed:  Alabama, Purdue, Seton Hall, Connecticut

10 Seed:  San Diego State, Saint Louis, Oklahoma, Arizona

11 Seed:  Northern Iowa, Providence, Arkansas, Miami (FL)

12 Seed:  {Syracuse-BYU}, {Dayton-Colorado}, Murray State, New Mexico State

13 Seed:  Furman, Buffalo, Western Kentucky, Vermont

14 Seed:  Little Rock, Winthrop, SF Austin, Hofstra

15 Seed:  South Dakota State, UC Santa Barbara, Wright State, Lipscomb

16 Seed:  Siena, Eastern Washington, {Texas Southern-FDU}, {Colgate-Norfolk State}

Last 4 Byes: Arizona, Providence, Arkansas, Miami (FL)

Last 4 In:  Syracuse, Dayton, Colorado, BYU

First 4 Out:  USC, Loyola (IL), Georgia Tech, North Carolina State

Others considered (in order):  Clemson, Butler, Virginia Tech, Boise State, Davidson, Utah, SMU, Cincinnati, South Carolina, Xavier, Utah State, Saint Mary’s, UNC-Greensboro, UNLV, St. Bonaventure, Rhode Island, Duquesne, Liberty

In:  None

Out: None

Movement: None

Multi-Bid Conferences:

9 – Big 10

7 – ACC

6 – Big12, PAC-12, SEC

5 – Big East

3 – A10

2 – AAC, WCC

Ineligible:

Auburn, Oklahoma State (postseason ban)

Bethune-Cookman, Brown, Columbia, Cornell, Dartmouth, Harvard, Maryland-Eastern Shore, Penn, Princeton, Yale (not competing due to COVID)

Bellarmine, UC-San Diego, Cal Baptist, Dixie State, Merrimack, Tarleton State (provisional D1 members)

March 12 Seeding Predictions (2:12 PM EDT Update)

Teams in bold have clinched bids

Updated with 1 seeds of cancelled conference tournaments clinching bids.  Cincinnati, are you patient zero?

Waiting to hear if Creighton gets the Big East auto bid.  I’m assuming they will, although they were losing to St. John’s when the game was called off.

MEAC is last conference standing

1 Seed:  Kansas, Gonzaga, Baylor, Dayton

2 Seed:  San Diego State, Florida State, Duke, Maryland

3 Seed:  Creighton, Michigan State, Villanova, Louisville

4 Seed:  Seton Hall, Oregon, Kentucky, Butler

5 Seed:  Ohio State, West Virginia, Wisconsin, BYU

6 Seed:  Auburn, Houston, Iowa, Illinois

7 Seed:  Virginia, Penn State, Colorado, Arizona

8 Seed:  Michigan, Florida, Marquette, LSU

9 Seed:  Saint Mary’s, Providence, Oklahoma, USC

10 Seed:  Indiana, Utah State, Richmond, Arizona State

11 Seed:  East Tennessee State, Texas Tech {Wichita State-Stanford}, Cincinnati

12 Seed:  {Rutgers-North Carolina State}, Yale, Liberty, Akron

13 Seed:  Stephen F Austin, Vermont, North Texas, New Mexico State

14 Seed:  Belmont, Bradley, UC-Irvine, Hofstra

15 Seed:  Eastern Washington, Little Rock, North Dakota State, Northern Kentucky

16 Seed:  Winthrop, Siena, {Boston University-UNC Central}, {Prairie ViewRobert Morris}

Last 4 Byes: Indiana, Richmond, Arizona State, Texas Tech

Last 4 In:  Wichita State, Stanford, Rutgers, North Carolina State

First 4 Out:  Texas, UCLA, Xavier, Purdue

Others considered (in order):  Northern Iowa, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Oklahoma State, Notre Dame, Memphis, Saint Louis, South Carolina

In:  Boston University, North Carolina State

Out: Colgate, Xavier

Movement:

Up 1:  Cincinnati, Northern Kentucky

Multi-Bid Conferences:

10 – Big 10

6 – PAC-12, Big East

5 – Big12, ACC

4 – SEC

3 – AAC, WCC

2 – A10, MWC

March 11 Seeding Predictions

Teams in bold have clinched bids

1 Seed:  Kansas, Gonzaga, Baylor, Dayton

2 Seed:  San Diego State, Florida State, Duke, Maryland

3 Seed:  Creighton, Michigan State, Villanova, Louisville

4 Seed:  Seton Hall, Oregon,  Kentucky, Butler

5 Seed:  Ohio State, West Virginia, Wisconsin, BYU

6 Seed:  Auburn, Houston, Iowa, Illinois

7 Seed:  Penn State, Colorado, Virginia, Arizona

8 Seed:  Michigan, Florida, Marquette, LSU

9 Seed:  Saint Mary’s, Providence, Oklahoma, USC

10 Seed:  Utah State, Richmond, Indiana, Arizona State

11 Seed:  Stanford, East Tennessee State, Texas Tech, {Wichita State-Xavier}

12 Seed:  {Cincinnati-Rutgers}, Yale, Liberty, Akron

13 Seed:  Stephen F Austin, Vermont, North Texas, New Mexico State

14 Seed:  Belmont, Bradley, UC-Irvine, Hofstra

15 Seed:  Colgate, Eastern Washington, Little Rock, North Dakota State

16 Seed:  Northern Kentucky, Winthrop, {Siena-UNC Central}, {Prairie View-Robert Morris}

Last 4 Byes: Indiana, Arizona State, Stanford, Texas Tech

Last 4 In:  Wichita State, Xavier, Cincinnati, Rutgers

First 4 Out:  Texas, UCLA, North Carolina State, Purdue

Others considered (in order):  Northern Iowa, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Oklahoma State, Notre Dame, Memphis, Saint Louis, South Carolina

In:  None

Out: None

Movement:

None

Multi-Bid Conferences:

10 – Big 10

7 – Big East

6 – PAC-12

5 – Big12

4 – ACC, SEC

3 – AAC, WCC

2 – A10, MWC

March 10 Seeding Predictions

Teams in bold have clinched bids

1 Seed:  Kansas, Gonzaga, Baylor, Dayton

2 Seed:  San Diego State, Florida State, Duke, Maryland

3 Seed:  Creighton, Michigan State, Villanova, Louisville

4 Seed:  Seton Hall, Oregon,  Kentucky, Butler

5 Seed:  Ohio State, West Virginia, Wisconsin, BYU

6 Seed:  Auburn, Houston, Iowa, Illinois

7 Seed:  Penn State, Colorado, Virginia, Arizona

8 Seed:  Michigan, Florida, Marquette, LSU

9 Seed:  Saint Mary’s, Providence, Oklahoma, USC

10 Seed:  Utah State, Richmond, Indiana, Arizona State

11 Seed:  Stanford, East Tennessee State, Texas Tech, {Wichita State-Xavier}

12 Seed:  {Cincinnati-Rutgers}, Yale, Liberty, Akron

13 Seed:  Stephen F Austin, Vermont, North Texas, New Mexico State

14 Seed:  Belmont, Bradley, UC-Irvine, Hofstra

15 Seed:  Colgate, Eastern Washington, Little Rock, North Dakota State

16 Seed:  Northern Kentucky, Winthrop, {Siena-UNC Central}, {Prairie View-Robert Morris}

Last 4 Byes: Indiana, Arizona State, Stanford, Texas Tech

Last 4 In:  Wichita State, Xavier, Cincinnati, Rutgers

First 4 Out:  Texas, UCLA, North Carolina State, Purdue

Others considered (in order):  Northern Iowa, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Oklahoma State, Notre Dame, Memphis, Saint Louis, South Carolina

In:  Northern Kentucky

Out: Wright State

Movement:

UP 1:  North Dakota State

Multi-Bid Conferences:

10 – Big 10

7 – Big East

6 – PAC-12

5 – Big12

4 – ACC, SEC

3 – AAC, WCC

2 – A10, MWC

March 9 Seeding Predictions

Teams in bold have clinched bids

1 Seed:  Kansas, Gonzaga, Baylor, Dayton

2 Seed:  San Diego State, Florida State, Duke, Maryland

3 Seed:  Creighton, Michigan State, Villanova, Louisville

4 Seed:  Seton Hall, Oregon,  Kentucky, Butler

5 Seed:  Ohio State, BYU, West Virginia, Wisconsin

6 Seed:  Auburn, Houston, Iowa, Illinois

7 Seed:  Penn State, Colorado, Virginia, Arizona

8 Seed:  Michigan, Florida, Marquette, LSU

9 Seed:  Saint Mary’s, Providence, Oklahoma, USC

10 Seed:  Utah State, Richmond, Indiana, Arizona State

11 Seed:  Stanford, Texas Tech, East Tennessee State, {Wichita State-Xavier}

12 Seed:  {Cincinnati-Rutgers}, Yale, Liberty, Akron

13 Seed:  Stephen F Austin, Vermont, North Texas, New Mexico State

14 Seed:  Belmont, Bradley, UC-Irvine, Hofstra

15 Seed:  Colgate, Wright State, Eastern Washington, Little Rock

16 Seed:  North Dakota State, Winthrop, {Siena-UNC Central}, {Prairie View-Robert Morris}

Last 4 Byes: Indiana, Arizona State, Stanford, Texas Tech

Last 4 In:  Wichita State, Xavier, Cincinnati, Rutgers

First 4 Out:  Texas, UCLA, North Carolina State, Purdue

Others considered (in order):  Northern Iowa, Arkansas, Mississippi State, Rhode Island, Connecticut, Oklahoma State, Notre Dame, Memphis, Saint Louis, South Carolina

In:  Cincinnati, Rutgers, Bradley, North Dakota State

Out: Arkansas, Mississippi State, Northern Iowa, South Dakota State

Movement:

UP 3:  Providence

UP 2:  Wisconsin, Virginia, Richmond

UP 1:  Dayton, Duke, Creighton, Michigan State, Butler, West Virginia, Illinois, USC, Indiana, Arizona State, Akron, New Mexico State, Eastern Washington

Down 1:  San Diego State, Kentucky, BYU, Auburn, Iowa, Penn State, Colorado, Marquette, Wichita State, Xavier

Down 2:  Seton Hall, Stanford

Down 3:  Texas Tech

Multi-Bid Conferences:

10 – Big 10

7 – Big East

6 – PAC-12

5 – Big12

4 – ACC, SEC

3 – AAC, WCC

2 – A10, MWC

,

March 2 Seeding Predictions

1 Seed:  Kansas, Gonzaga, Baylor, San Diego State

2 Seed:  Dayton, Maryland, Florida State, Seton Hall

3 Seed:  Duke, Louisville, Villanova, Kentucky

4 Seed:  Oregon, Michigan State, BYU, Creighton

5 Seed:  Ohio State, Butler, Iowa, Auburn

6 Seed:  Houston, Penn State, West Virginia, Colorado

7 Seed:  Wisconsin, Illinois, Arizona, Marquette

8 Seed:  Michigan, Texas Tech, Florida, LSU

9 Seed:  Virginia, Saint Mary’s, Stanford, Oklahoma

10 Seed:  Wichita State, Xaiver, USC, Utah State

11 Seed:  Arizona State, East Tennessee State, Indiana, Northern Iowa

12 Seed:  {Providence-Arkansas}, {Richmond-Mississippi State}, Yale, Liberty

13 Seed:  Akron, Stephen F Austin, North Texas, Vermont

14 Seed:  Belmont, UC-Irvine, New Mexico State, Hofstra

15 Seed:  Colgate, South Dakota State, Wright State, Little Rock

16 Seed:  Eastern Washington, Winthrop, {Siena-UNC Central}, {Prairie View-Robert Morris}

Last 4 In:  Providence, Arkansas, Richmond, Mississippi State

First 4 Out:  Cincinnati, Rutgers, Rhode Island, UCLA

Others considered (in order):  Texas, Purdue, Alabama, North Carolina State, Furman, Memphis, Notre Dame, Georgetown

In:  USC, Providence, Richmond, Mississippi State, Eastern Washington, Winthrop, Siena, UNC Central

Out: Cincinnati, Rutgers, Rhode Island, Purdue, Montana, Radford, St. Peter’s North Carolina A&T

Movement:

UP 3:  Oklahoma

UP 2:  Michigan State, Xavier

UP 1:  San Diego State, Florida State, Seton Hall, Ohio State, Butler, Iowa, Houston, Illinois, Marquette, Stanford, Utah State

Down 1:  Dayton, Duke, Louisville, Penn State, West Virginia, Michigan, Texas Tech, Wichita State

Down 2:  Colorado, Arizona, Arizona State

Multi-Bid Conferences:

10 – Big 10

7 – Big East

6 – PAC-12, SEC

5 – Big12

4 – ACC

3 – WCC

2 – A10, AAC, MWC

,

February 24 Seeding Predictions

1 Seed:  Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, Dayton

2 Seed:  San Diego State, Duke, Louisville, Maryland

3 Seed:  Florida State, Seton Hall, Kentucky, Villanova

4 Seed:  Creighton, BYU, Colorado, Oregon

5 Seed:  Arizona, Auburn, Penn State, West Virginia

6 Seed:  Iowa, Ohio State, Michigan State, Butler

7 Seed:  Michigan, Texas Tech, Wisconsin, Houston

8 Seed:  Illinois, Marquette, LSU, Florida

9 Seed:  Saint Mary’s, Wichita State, Virginia, Arizona State

10 Seed:  Rutgers, Indiana, Rhode Island, Stanford

11 Seed:  Cincinnati, Utah State, East Tennessee State, Northern Iowa

12 Seed:  {Purdue-Xavier}, {Oklahoma-Arkansas}, Liberty, Yale

13 Seed:  Akron, North Texas, Vermont, Stephen F Austin

14 Seed:  UC-Irvine, Belmont, Hofstra, New Mexico State

15 Seed:  South Dakota State, Colgate, Wright State, Little Rock

16 Seed:  Montana, Radford, {Prairie View-North Carolina A&T}, {St. Peter’s-Robert Morris}

Last 4 In:  Purdue, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Xavier

First 4 Out:  USC, Providence, Minnesota, North Carolina State

Others considered (in order):  Alabama, Mississippi State, Georgetown, VCU, Memphis, UNC-Greensboro, Notre Dame, Tennessee, UCLA, Texas, Richmond, Furman

In:  Indiana, Stanford, Arkansas, Xavier, Belmont, Radford, North Carolina A&T

Out: USC, Mississippi State, Georgetown, VCU, Murray State, Winthrop, UNC Central

Movement:

UP 2:  BYU, Saint Mary’s, Arizona State

UP 1:  Dayton, Louisville, Seton Hall, Kentucky, Creighton, Colorado, Michigan State, Wisconsin, Illinois, Virginia, Utah State, East Tennessee State, Yale, Hofstra, Little Rock

Down 1:  San Diego State, Florida State, Oregon, Auburn, Houston, Marquette, Rhode Island, Cincinnati, North Texas, South Dakota State, Wright State, Montana, Radford

Down 2:  Penn State, Butler, Rutgers, Purdue

Down 3:  Oklahoma

Multi-Bid Conferences:

11 – Big 10

6 – Big East

5 – Big 12, PAC-12, SEC

4 – ACC

3 – AAC, WCC

2 – A10, MWC

 

February 17 Seeding Predictions

1 Seed:  Baylor, Kansas, Gonzaga, San Diego State

2 Seed:  Duke, Dayton, Maryland, Florida State

3 Seed:  Penn State, Louisville, Villanova, Oregon

4 Seed:  Seton Hall, Kentucky, Auburn, Butler

5 Seed:  West Virginia, Arizona, Creighton, Colorado

6 Seed:  BYU, Ohio State, Houston, Iowa

7 Seed:  Michigan State, Marquette, Texas Tech, Michigan

8 Seed:  Wisconsin, LSU, Florida, Rutgers

9 Seed:  Illinois, Rhode Island, Oklahoma, Wichita State

10 Seed:  Mississippi State, Cincinnati, Virginia, Purdue

11 Seed:  Saint Mary’s, USC, {Arizona State-VCU}, Northern Iowa

12 Seed:  {Utah State-Georgetown}, East Tennessee State, Liberty, North Texas

13 Seed:  Akron, Yale, Vermont, Stephen F. Austin

14 Seed:  New Mexico State, South Dakota State, UC-Irvine, Wright State

15 Seed:  Colgate, Hofstra, Winthrop, Montana

16 Seed:  Murray State, Little Rock, {Prairie View-UNC Central}, {Robert Morris-St. Peter’s}

Last 4 In:  Arizona State, VCU, Utah State, Georgetown

First 4 Out:  Arkansas, Stanford, Indiana, Minnesota

Others considered (in order):  Xavier, Alabama, Richmond, Furman, UNC-Greensboro, SMU, Memphis, NC State, Tennessee, South Carolina, Connecticut, Notre Dame, Syracuse

In:  USC, Arizona State, Utah State, Georgetown, Akron, St. Peter’s UNC-Central

Out: Arkansas, Stanford, Minnesota, Xavier, Bowling Green, Rider, North Caolina A&T

Movement:

UP 2:  Villanova, Oregon, Kentucky, Florida, Wichita State

UP 1:  Florida State, Penn State, BYU, Ohio State, Michigan, Wisconsin, Oklahoma, Cincinnati, Virginia, North Texas

Down 1:  Louisville, Seton Hall, Auburn, Colorado, Marquette, Yale, New Mexico State, Winthrop, Little Rock

Down 2:  West Virginia, Illinois, Purdue, VCU

Down 3:  Michigan State

Multi-Bid Conferences:

10 – Big 10

6 – Big East

5 – Big 12, PAC-12, SEC

4 – ACC

3 – A10, AAC,, WCC

2 – MWC

 

February 10 Seeding Predictions

1 Seed:  Baylor, Kansas, Gonzaga, San Diego State

2 Seed:  Duke, Dayton, Louisville, Maryland

3 Seed:  Seton Hall, West Virginia, Florida State, Auburn

4 Seed:  Butler, Penn State, Colorado, Michigan State

5 Seed:  Villanova, Oregon, Arizona, Creighton

6 Seed:  Kentucky, Houston, Iowa, Marquette

7 Seed:  Texas Tech, BYU, Ohio State, Illinois

8 Seed:  Michigan, LSU, Rutgers, Purdue

9 Seed:  Wisconsin, VCU, Arkansas, Rhode Island

10 Seed:  Florida, Mississippi State, Stanford, Oklahoma

11 Seed:  Northern Iowa, Saint Mary’s, Cincinnati, {Wichita State-Virginia}

12 Seed:  {Minnesota-Xavier}, East Tennessee State, Yale, Liberty

13 Seed:  Vermont, North Texas, Stephen F Austin, New Mexico State

14 Seed:  Winthrop, South Dakota State, UC-Irvine, Wright State

15 Seed:  Colgate, Little Rock, Hofstra, Montana

16 Seed:  Murray State, Bowling Green, {Prairie View-North Carolina A&T}, {Rider-Robert Morris}

Last 4 In:  Wichita State, Virginia, Minnesota, Xavier

First 4 Out:  Indiana, Utah State, Alabama, Memphis

Others considered (in order):  Georgetown, North Carolina State, USC, Arizona State, Notre Dame, Richmond, Syracuse, Furman, UNC-Greensboro, Texas, Tennessee

In:  Minnesota, Xavier, North Texas, UC-Irvine, Montana, Prairie View, Rider

Out: Indiana, Memphis, Louisiana Tech, Hawaii, Eastern Washington, Texas Southern, Monmouth

Movement:

UP 2:  Penn State, Purdue, VCU, Rhode Island

UP 1:  San Diego State, Maryland, Auburn, Colorado, Houston, Marquette, Texas Tech, BYU, Oklahoma, Cincinnati

Down 1:  Louisville, West Virginia, Michigan State, Oregon, Arizona, Iowa, Illinois, Michigan, Arkansas, Florida, Stanford, Saint Mary’s, Wichita State, Little Rock, Murray State, Bowling Green

Down 2:  LSU

Multi-Bid Conferences:

11 – Big 10

6 – Big East, SEC

5 – Big 12

4 – PAC-12, ACC

3 – A10, WCC, AAC