November 11 Seeding Predictions

1 Seed:  Kentucky, Duke, Michigan State, Louisville

2 Seed:  Kansas, Maryland, North Carolina, Villanova

3 Seed:  Virginia, Texas Tech, Florida, Gonzaga

4 Seed:  Memphis, Purdue, Seton Hall, Ohio State

5 Seed:  Arizona, Xavier, Saint Mary’s, Baylor

6 Seed:  Utah State, Creighton, VCU, Oregon

7 Seed:  Washington, Auburn, Florida State, LSU

8 Seed:  Marquette, Georgetown, Davidson, Tennessee

9 Seed:  Penn State, Michigan, Houston, Providence

10 Seed:  North Carolina State, Colorado, Texas, Oklahoma

11 Seed:  Illinois, Missouri, {West Virginia – Mississippi}, {Wisconsin – Cincinnati}

12 Seed:  Western Kentucky, Vermont East Tennessee State, Harvard

13 Seed:  New Mexico State, Missouri State, Belmont, Bowling Green

14 Seed:  Liberty, Charleston, North Dakota State, Wright State

15 Seed:  Colgate, UT-Arlington, UC-Irvine, Rider

16 Seed:  Radford, Nicholls, {Montana-UNC Central}, {St Francis (PA)-Prairie View}

Last 4 In:  West Virginia, Wisconsin, Cincinnati, Mississippi

First 4 Out:  Butler, Indiana, San Diego State, Mississippi State

Others considered (in order):  Notre Dame, USC, Oklahoma State, Iowa, Alabama, Syracuse, Dayton, Kansas State, South Carolina, Arkansas, Murray State, TCU, Iowa State, Arizona State, Northeastern, Northern Iowa, Furman, Virginia Tech, Utah

In:  Nicholls

Out: Sam Houston State

Movement:

UP 1:  Louisville, Villanova, Ohio State, Washington, Houston, Providence, Oklahoma, Rider

Down 1:  Kansas, Florida, Baylor, Marquette, North Carolina State, Radford

Down 2:  Illinois

Oct. 21 Seeding Predictions (last one before the season begins)

1 Seed:  Michigan State, Kansas, Kentucky, Duke

2 Seed:  Louisville, Florida, Maryland, North Carolina

3 Seed:  Villanova, Texas Tech, Virginia, Gonzaga

4 Seed:  Purdue, Memphis, Baylor, Seton Hall

5 Seed:  Ohio State, Arizona, Xavier, Saint Mary’s

6 Seed:  Utah State, Creighton, VCU, Oregon

7 Seed:  Auburn, LSU, Marquette, Florida State

8 Seed:  Georgetown, Davidson, Tennessee, Washington

9 Seed:  Illinois, North Carolina State, Penn State, Michigan

10 Seed:  Houston, Providence, Colorado, Texas

11 Seed:  Wisconsin, Oklahoma, {Cincinnati – Mississippi}, {Missouri-West Virginia}

12 Seed:  Western Kentucky, Harvard, East Tennessee State, Vermont

13 Seed:  New Mexico State, Missouri State, Belmont, Bowling Green

14 Seed:  Liberty, Charleston, North Dakota State, Wright State

15 Seed:  UC Irvine, Colgate, UT-Arlington, Radford

16 Seed:  Rider, Sam Houston State, {Montana-UNC Central}, {St Francis (PA)-Prairie View}

Last 4 In:  Cincinnati, Missouri, West Virginia, Mississippi

First 4 Out:  Alabama, Butler, Indiana, San Diego State

Others considered (in order):  Mississippi State, Notre Dame, Iowa State, Syracuse, USC, Oklahoma State, Iowa, Dayton, Kansas State, Arizona State, South Carolina, Arkansas, Murray State, TCU, Furman, pretty much everyone else

In:  Missouri, West Virginia, Mississippi, Montana

Out: Mississippi State, Iowa State, Arizona State, Northern Colorado

 

Still Somewhat Too Early 2019-2020 Seeding Predictions (Sept 28)

1 Seed:  Michigan State, Kansas, Kentucky, Duke

2 Seed:  Louisville, Florida, Maryland, North Carolina

3 Seed:  Villanova, Texas Tech, Virginia, Gonzaga

4 Seed:  Memphis, Purdue, Baylor, Seton Hall

5 Seed:  Ohio State, Arizona, Utah State, Xavier

6 Seed:  Saint Mary’s, Creighton, Oregon, VCU

7 Seed:  Auburn, LSU, Georgetown, Marquette

8 Seed:  Florida State, Davidson, Washington, Tennessee

9 Seed:  North Carolina State, Illinois, Penn State, Houston

10 Seed:  Michigan, Colorado, Providence, Mississippi State

11 Seed:  Wisconsin, Texas, {Iowa State-Arizona State}, {Oklahoma-Cincinnati}

12 Seed:  Western Kentucky, Harvard, East Tennessee State, Vermont

13 Seed:  New Mexico State, Missouri State, Belmont, Bowling Green

14 Seed:  Liberty, Charleston, North Dakota State, Wright State

15 Seed:  UC Irvine, Colgate, UT-Arlington, Radford

16 Seed:  Rider, Sam Houston State, {Northern Colorado-Delaware State}, {St. Francis (PA)-Prairie View}

Last 4 In:  Iowa State, Oklahoma, Cincinnati, Arizona State

First 4 Out:  Mississippi, Alabama, Syracuse, Dayton

Others considered (in order):  USC, Iowa, Kansas State, South Carolina, Notre Dame, Murray State, Northeastern, Georgetown, Furman, pretty much everyone else

In:  None

Out: None

Movement:

None

The Day After

Well, the unofficial results are up, and it looks as if Bracksketblogs is your highest-scoring bracket prediction site for 2019 (pending last-minute error checking, I suppose).

To give you an idea of how difficult it is to predict what the committee will do, here’s a list of everything I got wrong:

See you all next year!

Bracket Prediction

Final Seeding Predictions

1 Seed:  Duke, Virginia, Gonzaga, North Carolina

2 Seed:  Tennessee, Michigan State, Kentucky, Michigan

3 Seed:  Houston, Florida State, Texas Tech, Purdue

4 Seed:  LSU, Kansas, Kansas State, Wisconsin

5 Seed:  Auburn, Virginia Tech, Buffalo, Villanova

6 Seed:  Iowa State, Cincinnati, Mississippi State, Marquette

7 Seed:  Wofford, Nevada, Maryland, Louisville

8 Seed:  Utah State, Syracuse, Seton Hall, Mississippi

9 Seed:  VCU, Washington, Iowa, Baylor

10 Seed:  Minnesota, Central Florida, Oklahoma, Florida

11 Seed:  Saint Mary’s, Arizona State, {Temple – Ohio State}, {TCU – St. John’s}

12 Seed:  New Mexico State, Murray State, Oregon, Liberty

13 Seed:  UC-Irvine, Vermont, Northeastern, Yale

14 Seed:  Old Dominion, Saint Louis, Northern Kentucky, Georgia State

15 Seed:  Montana, Colgate, Bradley, Abilene Christian

16 Seed:  Gardner-Webb, Prairie View, {North Dakota State –  North Carolina Central}, {Iona – Fairleigh Dickinson}

Last 4 In:  Temple, Ohio State, TCU, St. John’s

First 4 Out:  North Carolina State, Belmont, Indiana, UNC-Greensboro

Others considered (in order):  Clemson, Texas, Alabama, Creighton, Furman, Lipscomb, Georgetown

In:  Saint Louis

Out: St. Bonaventure

Movement:

UP 1:  Michigan

DOWN 1:  Houston

March 17 (11 AM EDT) Seeding Predictions

1 Seed:  Duke, Virginia, Gonzaga, North Carolina

2 Seed:  Tennessee, Michigan State, Kentucky, Houston

3 Seed:  Michigan, Florida State, Texas Tech, Purdue

4 Seed:  LSU, Kansas, Kansas State, Wisconsin

5 Seed:  Buffalo, Virginia Tech, Auburn, Villanova

6 Seed:  Iowa State, Cincinnati, Mississippi State, Marquette

7 Seed:  Wofford, Nevada, Maryland, Louisville

8 Seed:  Utah State, Syracuse, Seton Hall, Mississippi

9 Seed:  VCU, Washington, Iowa, Baylor

10 Seed:  Minnesota, Central Florida, Oklahoma, Florida

11 Seed:  Saint Mary’s, Arizona State, {Temple – St. John’s}, {Ohio State – TCU}

12 Seed:  New Mexico State, Murray State, Oregon, Liberty

13 Seed:  UC-Irvine, Vermont, Northeastern, Yale

14 Seed:  Old Dominion, Northern Kentucky, Georgia State, St. Bonaventure

15 Seed:  Montana, Colgate, Abilene Christian, Bradley

16 Seed:  Gardner-Webb, Prairie View, {North Dakota State –  North Carolina Central}, {Iona – Fairleigh Dickinson}

Last 4 In:  Temple, Ohio State, TCU, St. John’s

First 4 Out:  North Carolina State, Belmont, Indiana, UNC-Greensboro

Others considered (in order):  Clemson, Texas, Alabama, Creighton, Furman, Lipscomb, Georgetown

Teams in Italics have completed their conference tournaments and are not currently in the field of 68

In:  Oregon

Out: North Carolina State

Movement:

UP 1:  Mississippi, St. John’s

DOWN 1:  Washington

DOWN 2:  Nevada